You ask a neighbor to water a sickly plant while you are on vacation. without water the plant will die with probability 0.8. with water it will die with probability 0.5. you are 80 % certain the neighbor will remember to water the plant. you come back from the vacation and the plant is dead. what is the probability that the plant died because neighbor forgot to water it?

step-by-step explanation:

12: 00 p.m. to 7: 00 p.m. is a total of 7 hours.

4: 00 p.m. to 7: 00 p.m. is a total of 3 hours.

this means that from 4: 00 p.m to 7: 00 p.m. this represents 3/7 of what was lost from 12: 00 p.m. to 7: 00 p.m.

after knowing this, after doing 11,600 - 6,800 = 4,800

4,800 represents 3/7 of what was lost for 7 hours.

we then divide 4,800 by 3 which gets 1,600.

because we know that 1,600 represents 1/7 of how much water was lost, we just have to multiply by 7, which gets 11,200.   after adding 11,200 to how much water was left at 7: 00 p.m. which was 6,800. 11,200 + 6,800 = 18,000

this means that the pool originally had 18,000 gallons in the pool.

you can also check your work by doing 18,000 - 4(1600), which becomes           1800 - 6400 which gets you 11,600.