A soda manufacturer knows that sales of soda increase during the summer. To make sure that they get a large portion of the sales, they decide to offer a contest throughout the spring. The contest is pretty simple: when you open your bottle of soda, if it says, “You win!” under the cap, you get another bottle of their soda for free. The chance of winning a free soda is 1 in 12. Lucky Lucy bought five sodas and won a free one with four of the caps. What’s the probability of that happening? Theoretically, how many sodas would you have to buy before having a greater than 50% chance of winning a free soda?