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Mathematics, 15.04.2020 04:49 fruitsnaxFTW5535

You ask a neighbor to water a sickly plant while you are on vacation. Without water the plant will die with probability 0.7. With water it will die with probability 0.45. You are 83 % certain the neighbor will remember to water the plant. You come back from the vacation and the plant is dead. What is the probability the neighbor forgot to water it?

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