Mathematics, 10.03.2020 01:32 jokerr5584
A poll taken in Massachusetts in October 2012 showed Obama leading Romney by 60% to 40% in the U. S. presidential race. Let's assume that these numbers represent probabilities. I wished to make a bet with my friend on who would win Massachusetts, and we agreed to base our bet on that poll. I predicted a victory for Obama and would win a profit of $5 if I were right. Assuming we wished this to be a fair game, how much should I have agreed to pay my friend if he was right and Massachusetts went to Romney?
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A poll taken in Massachusetts in October 2012 showed Obama leading Romney by 60% to 40% in the U. S....
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