A factory has three machines that all manufacture the same engine part. From long historical records the company has determined that the first machine produces 4% defectives, the second machine produces 6% defectives, and the third machine produces 1% defectives. Suppose also that the first machine produces 30%, the second machine 20%, and the third machine 50% of the engine parts. An engine part is selected at random. If the part is defective, what is the probability that was produced by the first machine?

High school seniors with strong academic records apply to the nation’s most selective colleges in greater numbers each year. because the number of slots remains relatively stable, some colleges reject more early applicants. suppose that for a recent admissions class, an ivy league college received 2851 applications for early admission. of this group, it admitted 1033 students early, rejected 854 outright, and deferred 964 to the regular admission pool for further consideration. in the past, this school has admitted 18% of the deferred early admission applicants during the regular admission process. counting the students admitted early and the students admitted during the regular admission process, the total class size was 2375. let e, r, and d represent the events that a student who applies for early admission is admitted early, rejected outright, or deferred to the regular admissions pool.suppose a student applies for early admission. what is the probability that the student will be admitted for early admission or be deferred and later admitted during the regular admission process?