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Mathematics, 02.10.2019 00:00 keva1p6dk26

There has been a great deal of controversy over the last several years regarding what types of surveillance are appropriate to prevent terrorism. suppose a particular surveillance system has a chance of correctly identifying a future terrorist and a chance of correctly identifying someone who is not a future terrorist. if there are future terrorists in a population of million, and one of these million is randomly selected, scrutinized by the system, and identified as a future terrorist, what is the probability that he/she actually is a future terrorist? does the value of this probability make you uneasy about using the surveillance system? explain.

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